Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.236916 0.268387 0.301941 0.340322 0.382945 0.428768 0.481694
2025-09-14 0.192631 0.234506 0.281961 0.339511 0.407191 0.484022 0.577602
2025-09-21 0.161614 0.209449 0.266585 0.339407 0.429256 0.535948 0.671647
2025-09-28 0.138456 0.189819 0.254114 0.339730 0.449867 0.585814 0.765215
2025-10-05 0.122312 0.176424 0.247067 0.344865 0.475367 0.641959 0.868886
2025-10-12 0.110799 0.167377 0.244101 0.354079 0.505679 0.705009 0.984148
2025-10-19 0.099399 0.156897 0.237719 0.357407 0.527439 0.757171 1.087126
2025-10-26 0.090996 0.149595 0.234735 0.364624 0.554256 0.816814 1.202540
2025-11-02 0.084744 0.144688 0.234486 0.375271 0.585992 0.884281 1.331507
2025-11-09 0.076265 0.135317 0.226557 0.373580 0.599163 0.925577 1.424884
2025-11-16 0.069032 0.127103 0.219526 0.372388 0.612491 0.967146 1.519908
2025-11-23 0.062635 0.119551 0.212767 0.370847 0.624761 1.007214 1.613935
2025-11-30 0.058353 0.115369 0.211390 0.378218 0.652004 1.072167 1.750018
2025-12-07 0.053192 0.109064 0.205897 0.378349 0.667608 1.119971 1.862220
2025-12-14 0.048646 0.103365 0.200888 0.378782 0.683500 1.168728 1.977846
2025-12-21 0.044621 0.098183 0.196283 0.379429 0.699554 1.218212 2.096482
2025-12-28 0.041742 0.094901 0.194764 0.385249 0.724456 1.282811 2.241665
2026-01-04 0.039708 0.093080 0.195741 0.395494 0.757355 1.361721 2.412983
2026-01-11 0.037028 0.089618 0.193292 0.399209 0.778880 1.422514 2.556845
2026-01-18 0.035079 0.087483 0.193189 0.407191 0.808256 1.497548 2.727031
2026-01-25 0.033686 0.086405 0.195049 0.418940 0.844917 1.586335 2.923474
2026-02-01 0.031000 0.082119 0.190078 0.417084 0.856414 1.632032 3.048289
2026-02-08 0.028611 0.078236 0.185580 0.415774 0.868704 1.679400 3.177474